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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.49+3.69vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.36+0.99vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.34+1.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-2.03vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.36-2.01vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.89-2.17vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.90-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-1.29-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.99Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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4.49Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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1.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.5%1st Place
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2.99Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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3.83William and Mary-0.890.1%1st Place
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6.61Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Arey | 5.0% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 23.3% | 13.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 19.5% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 7.7% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 46.6% | 26.0% | 16.6% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 19.5% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 10.5% | 14.2% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 35.1% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 24.6% | 57.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.