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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-1.49+3.66vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.36+0.98vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.36-0.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-2.06vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.34-0.50vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.89-2.18vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.29-2.63vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.90-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.34-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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1.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.5%1st Place
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4.5Penn State University-1.340.1%1st Place
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3.82William and Mary-0.890.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Maryland-1.290.1%1st Place
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6.65Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Arey | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 19.7% | 21.4% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 19.0% | 25.3% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 19.0% | 25.3% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Langdon Wallace | 47.6% | 26.4% | 15.3% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Ava Pezzimenti | 9.7% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 32.6% | 36.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hartman | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 27.4% | 53.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.