Race 1A

otoole-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
William Delong 8.8% 10.3% 9.9% 10.1% 11.3% 12.0% 11.6% 11.8% 9.5% 4.7%
Ocean Smith 6.5% 5.8% 6.9% 7.5% 9.4% 12.4% 13.2% 12.8% 12.8% 12.7%
Olivia Lowthian 26.5% 22.7% 18.6% 13.5% 8.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Gabrielle Ahitow 4.0% 4.1% 5.0% 6.7% 9.0% 9.8% 10.9% 15.3% 16.1% 19.1%
Evan Tofolo 9.2% 11.1% 10.6% 10.9% 12.0% 13.6% 10.8% 10.0% 7.0% 4.8%
Pierson Falk 18.5% 14.5% 15.7% 15.3% 12.3% 9.5% 7.8% 3.5% 2.3% 0.6%
Nolan Cooper 13.7% 17.3% 15.5% 14.0% 13.0% 10.5% 7.6% 4.6% 2.9% 0.9%
Sage Andrews 4.9% 5.7% 6.6% 9.2% 8.7% 10.5% 12.6% 14.1% 13.7% 14.0%
Myles Hazen 4.7% 3.8% 5.2% 6.3% 7.8% 9.3% 11.1% 12.7% 18.3% 20.8%
Andrew Blagden 3.2% 4.7% 6.0% 6.5% 7.9% 7.4% 11.0% 14.1% 16.9% 22.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.