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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+3.48vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.80+0.90vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.59+2.95vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.28+0.18vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-1.92vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69-3.95vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.38-2.57vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.61-3.01vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.64-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
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6.95Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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5.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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4.05Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.43Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.99Brandeis University-0.610.0%1st Place
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7.07Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 30.9% | 22.6% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| William Delong | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 5.4% |
| Pierson Falk | 15.8% | 16.8% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 19.8% |
| Ocean Smith | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% |
| Evan Tofolo | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 12.5% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Sage Andrews | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 21.4% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.