Race 4A

otoole-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Myles Hazen 4.4% 5.0% 5.5% 6.4% 8.3% 9.4% 9.4% 13.8% 16.4% 21.4%
Nolan Cooper 15.3% 14.2% 16.5% 14.6% 12.1% 9.2% 7.8% 6.7% 2.9% 0.7%
William Delong 8.6% 9.1% 8.7% 9.9% 11.8% 12.3% 14.3% 10.1% 8.9% 6.3%
Pierson Falk 15.9% 16.2% 16.5% 15.1% 12.8% 8.9% 7.3% 4.3% 2.6% 0.4%
Ocean Smith 6.1% 8.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.7% 11.5% 11.7% 12.5% 13.4% 12.1%
Olivia Lowthian 28.5% 23.5% 15.9% 13.3% 8.5% 6.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Andrew Blagden 2.8% 3.9% 5.3% 6.8% 6.7% 10.7% 12.0% 13.3% 17.3% 21.2%
Gabrielle Ahitow 4.0% 4.7% 6.6% 6.6% 8.3% 8.5% 10.5% 14.5% 18.4% 17.9%
Evan Tofolo 9.5% 9.6% 10.7% 12.2% 12.3% 12.1% 13.7% 8.8% 6.8% 4.3%
Sage Andrews 4.9% 5.8% 7.3% 7.1% 9.5% 11.1% 11.5% 14.8% 12.4% 15.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.