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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.80+1.81vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+0.89vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.59+2.37vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.38+0.86vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-1.89vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.64-2.46vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.28-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.81University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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3.89Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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6.37Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.86Boston University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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6.54Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.84University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 29.2% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 14.5% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 17.9% | 23.6% |
| Sage Andrews | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 17.6% |
| Evan Tofolo | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| William Delong | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 27.9% |
| Ocean Smith | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.