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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.80+2.67vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.91vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.69+0.88vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.38+1.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-0.30vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.64+0.52vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.28-1.13vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.59-1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of Rhode Island0.800.2%1st Place
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2.91Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.88Fairfield University0.690.2%1st Place
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5.94Boston University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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6.52Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Vermont-0.280.1%1st Place
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6.46Northeastern University-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierson Falk | 18.0% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 25.7% | 24.8% | 17.1% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 18.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 25.5% |
| Ocean Smith | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 14.2% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 26.3% |
| William Delong | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.