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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+2.02vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.23+2.04vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.86+3.54vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.29+0.04vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.15-0.19vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62-2.64vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-2.04+1.55vs Predicted
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8Boston University-1.11-1.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-1.65-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Fairfield University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.04Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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6.54Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.04University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
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4.81McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.36Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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8.55Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.9University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 24.5% | 22.3% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 14.7% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
| John Mason | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 9.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 20.6% | 19.4% | 19.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miles Laker | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 22.7% | 24.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 9.0% |
| Mungo McKemey | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 13.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 19.2% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.