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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.82+1.99vs Predicted
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2McGill University-0.15+2.81vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.44vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.23+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.29-1.06vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.86+0.43vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.11-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-1.65-0.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.46vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-0.56vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-2.04-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99Fairfield University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.81McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
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3.44Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.16Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.94University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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6.43Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston University-1.110.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
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8.59Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 24.4% | 24.7% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Richards | 10.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 18.2% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 13.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 16.7% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 3.7% |
| Mungo McKemey | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 10.2% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 47.2% |
| Miles Laker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 25.5% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.