Race 5B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Laura Smith 6.1% 8.3% 7.5% 9.2% 11.2% 10.7% 11.0% 10.8% 11.5% 9.4% 4.2%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 16.0% 14.3% 14.4% 13.2% 10.6% 10.4% 7.2% 7.0% 4.3% 1.7% 0.7%
Sidney Moyer 16.2% 14.3% 13.1% 11.1% 11.5% 9.6% 9.2% 7.1% 4.8% 2.6% 0.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 16.0% 15.6% 13.5% 13.2% 10.7% 9.1% 8.2% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Lizzie Cochran 10.6% 10.5% 12.1% 11.6% 10.8% 10.4% 10.6% 9.7% 7.6% 4.2% 1.9%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.8% 6.9% 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 8.1% 10.2% 10.2% 13.5% 14.6% 6.9%
Audrey Commerford 8.6% 8.0% 9.8% 9.8% 10.1% 10.9% 10.5% 10.7% 10.3% 8.8% 2.6%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 8.6% 10.1% 9.4% 10.3% 10.5% 10.9% 10.8% 10.1% 9.8% 6.9% 2.5%
Lilly Saffer 4.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.9% 7.2% 7.6% 8.8% 11.2% 13.5% 19.1% 11.1%
Arantxa Argibay 5.1% 5.3% 5.9% 6.5% 7.3% 8.5% 9.6% 11.7% 13.0% 17.4% 9.8%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.4% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 2.2% 3.6% 3.9% 4.4% 7.5% 13.7% 59.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.