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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+2.46vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+3.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+2.20vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.04+3.46vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+1.33vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82-0.40vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.21-0.02vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.48vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-6.21vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.48-2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12-2.56vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.69-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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6.33Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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5.6Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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2.79Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University1.480.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Connecticut-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 19.7% | 19.6% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 0.9% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Erica Lush | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 28.2% | 26.6% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wendy Reuss | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 3.9% |
| Ellen Kintz | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 34.5% | 11.8% |
| Jemma O'Donnell | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 9.2% | 80.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.