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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.34vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.82+0.94vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.86+3.50vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.23+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.29-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-1.65+2.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.11-0.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-0.60vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.15-4.07vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-2.04-1.38vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.94Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
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6.5Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.21Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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8.05University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.74Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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4.93McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
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8.62Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 18.8% | 21.9% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.0% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Grant Smith | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 16.0% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mungo McKemey | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 15.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 7.9% |
| Andrew Richards | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Miles Laker | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 24.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.