← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bentley University-0.86+5.44vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.62+1.30vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.23+1.19vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island0.29+0.03vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-0.15-0.16vs Predicted
-
6Boston University-1.11+0.91vs Predicted
-
7Brandeis University-2.04+1.53vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont-1.65-0.10vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.47vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University0.82-7.06vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.44Bentley University-0.860.0%1st Place
-
3.3Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
-
4.19Northeastern University0.230.1%1st Place
-
4.03University of Rhode Island0.290.1%1st Place
-
4.84McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
-
6.91Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
8.53Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
-
7.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
-
2.94Fairfield University0.820.3%1st Place
-
9.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilfred Hynes | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 21.9% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Mason | 14.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Richards | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Miles Laker | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 24.3% |
| Mungo McKemey | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 19.7% | 13.0% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 15.8% | 9.3% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 27.0% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.