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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.42vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.23+2.03vs Predicted
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3Boston University-1.11+4.05vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.82-0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-1.65+2.93vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.15-1.09vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.86-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.29-4.15vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-2.04-0.28vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.52-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University0.230.2%1st Place
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7.05Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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3.1Fairfield University0.820.2%1st Place
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7.93University of Vermont-1.650.0%1st Place
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4.91McGill University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.22Bentley University-0.860.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Rhode Island0.290.2%1st Place
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8.72Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 19.0% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Smith | 15.3% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.6% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mungo McKemey | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 14.9% |
| Andrew Richards | 9.9% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| John Mason | 15.4% | 19.0% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Miles Laker | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 23.8% | 26.7% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Brooklyn Geary | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.