Race 6B

otoole-sunday

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emil Tullberg 19.8% 19.0% 17.5% 15.4% 12.9% 8.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Richards 10.8% 9.4% 12.3% 12.1% 13.9% 13.8% 12.0% 8.6% 5.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Bryce Vitiello 24.0% 22.1% 17.1% 14.6% 9.6% 7.2% 4.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
John Mason 14.0% 14.8% 13.2% 17.1% 13.7% 11.0% 9.1% 3.6% 3.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Mungo McKemey 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 5.1% 7.1% 10.0% 13.0% 18.7% 20.2% 13.8%
Grant Smith 14.3% 14.1% 15.6% 14.3% 14.3% 10.1% 8.0% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Miles Laker 1.7% 2.8% 2.6% 1.7% 3.4% 6.2% 7.9% 11.3% 14.9% 24.6% 22.9%
Danielle Bogacheva 4.1% 3.6% 5.8% 6.2% 9.1% 11.3% 12.9% 15.2% 14.7% 12.4% 4.7%
Brooklyn Geary 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 4.5% 8.1% 10.2% 18.2% 48.8%
Wilfred Hynes 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 8.4% 9.9% 12.9% 13.1% 18.0% 10.5% 7.0% 2.5%
Joseph Gedraitis 2.3% 4.5% 4.4% 4.9% 6.0% 10.0% 13.3% 13.9% 18.8% 14.9% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.