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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+3.31vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.71+3.49vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+1.42vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.01+0.42vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.84+1.09vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.16-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48-2.06vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College-0.13-1.96vs Predicted
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10Boston University-1.31-0.42vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.03-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31George Washington University1.0714.8%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University0.719.4%1st Place
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4.42Northeastern University1.1815.8%1st Place
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4.42Brown University1.0114.9%1st Place
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6.09Christopher Newport University-0.848.2%1st Place
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5.13Fordham University0.7110.6%1st Place
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6.7University of South Florida0.165.9%1st Place
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5.94University of Vermont0.487.5%1st Place
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7.04Connecticut College-0.136.2%1st Place
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9.58Boston University-1.311.4%1st Place
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6.88University of Miami-0.035.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 15.8% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sidney Moyer | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Laura Smith | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 3.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 7.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 10.9% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 14.0% | 59.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.