Race 3B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mariel Marchand 9.2% 9.6% 9.3% 11.2% 13.4% 13.4% 11.5% 9.4% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.2%
Morgan Kiss 25.6% 25.4% 17.8% 11.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chloe Lepert 8.1% 8.1% 10.2% 10.7% 11.3% 10.7% 13.4% 11.7% 8.7% 4.8% 2.2% 0.1%
Deirdre Lambert 21.0% 19.7% 17.0% 15.4% 10.7% 7.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Erica Lush 4.3% 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 8.9% 10.3% 9.7% 12.8% 13.6% 14.5% 8.1% 1.5%
Lizzy Hamilton 5.7% 6.0% 7.5% 8.4% 10.4% 10.7% 12.2% 12.5% 12.0% 10.2% 4.1% 0.3%
Sky Adams 8.7% 9.0% 10.4% 10.9% 12.1% 11.0% 11.5% 9.8% 8.9% 5.0% 2.6% 0.1%
Chanel Miller 11.0% 10.5% 11.5% 12.0% 11.1% 10.8% 12.1% 9.2% 6.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.1%
Laura Cuccio 2.3% 3.0% 6.5% 6.0% 7.7% 9.9% 10.2% 13.7% 15.5% 14.1% 10.3% 0.8%
Wendy Reuss 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 3.5% 5.7% 6.4% 8.6% 14.1% 21.7% 24.5% 3.9%
Ellen Kintz 1.8% 0.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 3.6% 4.1% 7.4% 9.1% 19.4% 35.5% 11.5%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 0.5% 2.8% 2.6% 9.0% 81.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.