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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+4.38vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina-0.51+7.19vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida-0.19+4.78vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54-0.93vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81-0.07vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.82+3.91vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.73+2.57vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.85-3.23vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.23-7.19vs Predicted
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11The Citadel-2.07+3.62vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-1.02-0.19vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+1.25vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.11-6.21vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-1.93-1.76vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-2.39-1.65vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-1.76-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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4.93San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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10.19University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.78University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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4.07North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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5.93Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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10.91Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.57University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.81Roger Williams University2.230.3%1st Place
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14.62The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.81Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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10.02Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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15.35Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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13.59Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.5% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 30.9% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 19.1% |
| Walter Roou | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| Ted Sherman | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Rain Hong | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 33.7% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.