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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+4.31vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+2.93vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54+1.12vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.23-1.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.19+3.83vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.11+0.93vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.85-2.27vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-0.73+1.61vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-1.02+1.76vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.82-0.04vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.51-1.77vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-2.07+1.45vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.48vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.57vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-1.93-2.75vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-7.86vs Predicted
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19Florida State University-2.39-3.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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4.93San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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4.12North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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2.71Roger Williams University2.230.3%1st Place
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8.83University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.92Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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5.73Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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10.61University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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11.76Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.96Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.23University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.45The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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13.52Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.14Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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15.18Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 15.2% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 32.5% | 24.9% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Walter Roou | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| William Avery | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 16.7% |
| Rain Hong | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.