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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+4.42vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+4.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23-0.17vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.85+1.84vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54-0.91vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.23-1.11vs Predicted
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70.00+1.45vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-1.02+2.63vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.11-1.97vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19-1.78vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina-0.73-1.90vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-2.07+0.55vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.30vs Predicted
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16Florida State University-2.39-0.53vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.82-5.83vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-1.76-3.97vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-1.93-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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6.13Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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2.83Roger Williams University2.230.3%1st Place
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5.84Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.09North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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4.89San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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8.450.000.0%1st Place
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11.63Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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9.22University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.24Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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11.1University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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14.55The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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13.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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15.47Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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11.17Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.03Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 27.7% | 25.2% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.9% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 11.1% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Walter Roou | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Ted Sherman | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 20.8% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 10.7% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 33.0% |
| William Avery | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 13.9% |
| Rain Hong | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.