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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+3.25vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+3.03vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23-0.16vs Predicted
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40.00+4.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+0.32vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.85-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.11+1.12vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81-2.06vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.82+2.08vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-1.02+1.92vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.19-2.80vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-2.07+1.88vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-0.24vs Predicted
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15University of South Carolina-0.73-4.44vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of Central Florida-1.93-2.61vs Predicted
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18Florida State University-2.39-2.55vs Predicted
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19Embry-Riddle University-1.76-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.03San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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2.84Roger Williams University2.230.3%1st Place
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8.390.000.0%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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5.97Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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5.94Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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11.08Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.92Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.88The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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13.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.56University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.18Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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14.39University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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15.45Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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13.73Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 14.9% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 27.8% | 25.3% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Avery | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Walter Roou | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 21.9% | 21.6% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 32.5% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.