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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+4.45vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.23+0.81vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54+1.20vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81+1.93vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University1.23-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.11+2.12vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.85-1.06vs Predicted
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80.00+0.40vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-2.07+5.72vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-0.82+1.25vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.19-1.80vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-1.02+0.02vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+0.73vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.73-3.42vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-1.76-2.11vs Predicted
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17Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-6.75vs Predicted
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18Florida State University-2.39-2.52vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-1.93-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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2.81Roger Williams University2.230.3%1st Place
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4.2North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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5.93Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.86San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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5.94Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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8.40.000.0%1st Place
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14.72The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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11.25Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida-0.190.0%1st Place
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12.02Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.73University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.58University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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13.89Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.25Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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15.48Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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14.18University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 9.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 28.5% | 25.6% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 13.6% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 19.8% |
| William Avery | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Walter Roou | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 11.9% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 34.2% |
| Rain Hong | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.