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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+4.32vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+4.08vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.23-0.21vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.23+0.79vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.54-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.11+2.04vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.85-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.51+1.87vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+4.82vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida-0.14-1.04vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-1.02+0.64vs Predicted
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12Clemson University-0.82-0.67vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-2.07+1.48vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-4.14vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina-0.73-5.37vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-2.39-1.58vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-1.76-4.06vs Predicted
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19University of Central Florida-1.93-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.1%1st Place
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6.08Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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2.79Roger Williams University2.230.3%1st Place
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4.79San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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4.04North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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8.04University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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5.88Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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9.87University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.82University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.64Christopher Newport University-1.020.0%1st Place
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11.33Clemson University-0.820.0%1st Place
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14.48The Citadel-2.070.0%1st Place
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9.86Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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10.63University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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15.42Florida State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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13.94Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed McAllister | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tristan McDonald | 28.9% | 26.0% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 12.2% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.9% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Sherman | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% |
| Blake March | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Walter Roou | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| William Avery | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Damian Uzonwanne | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 20.2% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Parker | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 33.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 13.9% |
| Rain Hong | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.