← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.29+2.95vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+4.25vs Predicted
-
3University of South Carolina-0.39+6.26vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.55+1.76vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University0.98-0.48vs Predicted
-
6University of Central Florida-0.52+3.51vs Predicted
-
7Christopher Newport University-0.54+2.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan-0.52+1.41vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University0.44-2.92vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel-0.60+0.05vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina-1.20+0.99vs Predicted
-
12Embry-Riddle University-1.130.00vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-0.21vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University-1.65-0.84vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-2.25+0.05vs Predicted
-
17Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-1.51vs Predicted
-
18Clemson University-0.80-7.25vs Predicted
-
19Hampton University0.61-13.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.95Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
-
6.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
-
9.26University of South Carolina-0.390.0%1st Place
-
5.76University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
-
4.52North Carolina State University0.980.2%1st Place
-
9.51University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.5Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
-
9.41University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
-
6.08Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
-
10.05The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
-
11.99University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
-
12.0Embry-Riddle University-1.130.0%1st Place
-
12.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
-
13.16Florida State University-1.650.0%1st Place
-
15.05San Diego State University-2.250.0%1st Place
-
15.49Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
-
10.75Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
-
5.5Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 18.7% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Loring | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Justin | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 17.0% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Joe Seiffert | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Emma Gumny | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Suhas Medidi | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Ella Durante | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 20.6% | 29.8% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 38.3% |
| Jack Houseal | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 11.4% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.