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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.29+2.93vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+4.26vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.98+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.39+4.95vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.55+0.83vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.44+0.18vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.60+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Central Florida-0.52+1.40vs Predicted
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9Clemson University-0.80+1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.52-0.19vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University-0.54-1.28vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-1.20+0.26vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-0.19vs Predicted
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14Florida State University-1.65-0.81vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-1.13-3.36vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-2.25-0.88vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-2.50vs Predicted
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19Hampton University0.61-13.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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4.64North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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8.95University of South Carolina-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.83University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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6.18Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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9.79The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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10.48Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.72Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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12.26University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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13.19Florida State University-1.650.0%1st Place
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11.64Embry-Riddle University-1.130.0%1st Place
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15.12San Diego State University-2.250.0%1st Place
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15.5Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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5.49Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 18.9% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Marsh | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 13.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Loring | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Luke Justin | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jack Houseal | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Sam Woodley | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 7.7% |
| Ella Durante | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.5% |
| Suhas Medidi | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 31.4% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 38.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.