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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.71+4.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.71+3.65vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.07+1.26vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.03+1.94vs Predicted
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6Boston University-1.31+3.62vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.16-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48-2.19vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College-0.13-1.83vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.90vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.01-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Fordham University0.7111.6%1st Place
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5.65Tufts University0.718.4%1st Place
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4.26George Washington University1.0715.6%1st Place
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4.36Northeastern University1.1814.6%1st Place
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6.94University of Miami-0.035.5%1st Place
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9.62Boston University-1.311.8%1st Place
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6.58University of South Florida0.165.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Vermont0.489.4%1st Place
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7.17Connecticut College-0.135.0%1st Place
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6.1Christopher Newport University-0.848.1%1st Place
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4.42Brown University1.0115.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 15.6% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.6% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 8.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 60.7% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 6.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 10.3% |
| Laura Smith | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 15.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.