Race 4B

women-regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mariel Marchand 8.8% 8.6% 11.3% 12.1% 12.4% 12.1% 13.1% 9.7% 6.5% 3.6% 1.7% 0.1%
Chloe Lepert 6.9% 9.3% 9.3% 12.2% 10.4% 13.2% 11.5% 10.8% 9.6% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Deirdre Lambert 22.0% 19.3% 17.8% 12.9% 11.0% 8.0% 5.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Laura Cuccio 3.0% 3.3% 4.5% 5.8% 8.1% 9.1% 9.1% 12.5% 16.6% 15.2% 11.4% 1.4%
Sky Adams 6.7% 9.5% 10.6% 10.9% 11.7% 9.7% 11.7% 10.8% 9.8% 5.2% 3.4% 0.0%
Ellen Kintz 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 1.8% 3.1% 4.7% 5.1% 5.4% 10.3% 18.9% 35.3% 10.3%
Morgan Kiss 28.8% 24.6% 15.8% 12.2% 8.5% 5.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Chanel Miller 10.1% 10.8% 12.7% 11.4% 11.4% 11.1% 11.1% 8.6% 6.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Erica Lush 3.7% 4.0% 6.4% 8.0% 9.2% 10.3% 10.9% 13.0% 13.8% 13.3% 6.7% 0.7%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.3% 6.6% 6.6% 9.8% 9.2% 10.6% 12.6% 14.4% 10.7% 9.3% 3.8% 0.1%
Wendy Reuss 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 2.7% 4.6% 4.7% 7.0% 8.9% 12.3% 22.2% 24.8% 6.2%
Jemma O'Donnell 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 9.3% 80.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.