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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.29+2.93vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.98+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.55+2.96vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.60+4.67vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.44+0.16vs Predicted
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7The Citadel-0.60+2.78vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.39+0.97vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.01vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.52-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19+0.96vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.54-2.17vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.80-2.66vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.13-2.61vs Predicted
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15Florida State University-1.65-1.66vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-2.25-0.89vs Predicted
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18Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-2.55vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan-1.65-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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5.57Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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9.67University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.16Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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9.78The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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8.97University of South Carolina-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.83Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.34Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.39Embry-Riddle University-1.130.0%1st Place
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13.34Florida State University-1.650.0%1st Place
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15.11San Diego State University-2.250.0%1st Place
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15.45Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Fuja | 18.4% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Joe Seiffert | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Molly Loring | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Marsh | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Torin Stremlau | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Noah Hubbard | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Suhas Medidi | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Ella Durante | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 10.4% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 31.3% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 19.4% | 37.7% |
| Jillian Giordano | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.