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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+5.20vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.29+1.86vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.98+1.67vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.61+1.56vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.55+0.76vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.60+3.81vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.44-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.60+1.64vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.65+4.41vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina-0.39-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.52-1.42vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University-0.54-2.15vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.80-2.67vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.13-2.64vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.19-3.19vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-2.41-0.56vs Predicted
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17Florida State University-1.65-3.54vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-2.25-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.1%1st Place
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3.86Roger Williams University1.290.2%1st Place
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4.67North Carolina State University0.980.1%1st Place
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5.56Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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5.76University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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9.81The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.18Jacksonville University0.440.1%1st Place
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9.64University of North Carolina-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Michigan-1.650.0%1st Place
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9.21University of South Carolina-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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9.85Christopher Newport University-0.540.0%1st Place
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10.33Clemson University-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.36Embry-Riddle University-1.130.0%1st Place
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11.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.190.0%1st Place
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15.44Florida Institute of Technology-2.410.0%1st Place
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13.46Florida State University-1.650.0%1st Place
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14.89San Diego State University-2.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Marsh | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Fuja | 15.9% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 13.6% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 11.7% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Joe Seiffert | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| May Proctor | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jillian Giordano | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 10.5% |
| Molly Loring | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Noah Hubbard | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Houseal | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Suhas Medidi | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Torin Stremlau | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Abigail Hesterhagen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 37.4% |
| Ella Durante | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| Sadie Marinerstein | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.