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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.07+3.33vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University-0.84+4.14vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College-0.13+4.17vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+1.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.71+0.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.01-1.64vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-2.60vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.16-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48-3.13vs Predicted
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10University of Miami-0.03-3.08vs Predicted
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11Boston University-1.31-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33George Washington University1.0716.0%1st Place
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6.14Christopher Newport University-0.846.9%1st Place
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7.17Connecticut College-0.135.0%1st Place
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5.08Fordham University0.7111.4%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University0.719.2%1st Place
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4.36Brown University1.0115.9%1st Place
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4.4Northeastern University1.1814.3%1st Place
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6.57University of South Florida0.166.4%1st Place
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5.87University of Vermont0.488.2%1st Place
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6.92University of Miami-0.035.0%1st Place
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9.62Boston University-1.311.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 16.0% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Laura Smith | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
Lilly Saffer | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 11.0% |
Lizzie Cochran | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
Julia Shannon-Grillo | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.3% |
Sidney Moyer | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 14.3% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 7.1% |
Audrey Commerford | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
Arantxa Argibay | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 8.2% |
Danielle Bogacheva | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.