← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.02+4.16vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.83+1.35vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.51+3.24vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.10-1.12vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.82+0.56vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.48+2.60vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-1.35vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.04-0.71vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.98-3.94vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12-0.78vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.05-3.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Connecticut-0.69-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.16University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
-
3.35Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
-
6.24Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
2.88Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
-
5.56Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.6Roger Williams University1.480.0%1st Place
-
5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
-
7.29University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
-
5.06Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
-
7.49Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.5University of Connecticut-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 21.0% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 28.3% | 23.9% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Wendy Reuss | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 22.1% | 22.9% | 5.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Laura Cuccio | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 2.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ellen Kintz | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 34.6% | 9.2% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.0% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 1.7% |
| Jemma O'Donnell | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 10.4% | 80.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.