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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 16.0% 14.6% 13.7% 13.0% 10.4% 9.8% 8.2% 6.0% 4.8% 2.8% 0.6%
Laura Smith 6.9% 8.5% 7.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.4% 10.9% 11.5% 11.8% 10.0% 4.6%
Lilly Saffer 5.0% 4.5% 7.3% 5.8% 6.7% 8.0% 8.8% 10.7% 14.4% 17.9% 11.0%
Lizzie Cochran 11.4% 11.7% 10.7% 11.1% 10.7% 11.1% 10.9% 9.2% 6.7% 5.1% 1.5%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 9.2% 9.6% 9.0% 10.7% 11.6% 10.2% 10.9% 10.0% 9.2% 7.2% 2.3%
Sidney Moyer 15.9% 14.1% 13.7% 11.2% 12.2% 10.8% 8.0% 6.9% 4.9% 2.1% 0.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 14.3% 14.7% 14.1% 11.9% 11.5% 10.8% 8.6% 6.7% 4.4% 2.5% 0.6%
Marina Dreyfuss 6.4% 7.0% 7.4% 7.6% 8.3% 8.2% 9.7% 12.0% 12.0% 14.2% 7.1%
Audrey Commerford 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 10.3% 9.0% 10.8% 10.5% 11.2% 10.5% 9.4% 2.9%
Arantxa Argibay 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 6.5% 7.6% 8.0% 10.0% 11.1% 14.8% 16.1% 8.2%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.3% 2.8% 3.6% 4.8% 6.6% 12.7% 60.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.