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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.60+5.33vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+3.40vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+5.68vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+1.77vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26+2.68vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03-0.85vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+2.60vs Predicted
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8Boston College0.45+2.47vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+1.26vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.36+0.98vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.32-3.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-3.60vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-7.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.70vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.03-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.4Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.68Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.68George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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5.15Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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10.47Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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11.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.09Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Caroline Odell | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 13.8% |
| Kalea Woodard | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Emma Wang | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 15.3% |
| Greta Traver | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.