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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+3.95vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+6.63vs Predicted
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3Fordham University0.99+5.73vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+3.12vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.36+5.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+5.21vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.32-0.70vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90-3.61vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.76-0.45vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.03+0.90vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.46vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.60-6.63vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-8.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-4.60vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.45-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.8George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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7.3University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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5.39Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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11.9Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.37College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.68Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Wang | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 16.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Kalea Woodard | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Greta Traver | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 25.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 8.7% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.