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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.26+6.58vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99+6.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+2.63vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.60+2.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.90+0.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+1.08vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03-1.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.05vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99-0.37vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-0.36vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76-1.52vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.36-1.11vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.32-5.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.77vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.03-2.89vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.45-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.43Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.11Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University0.990.1%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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10.89Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.35University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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12.11Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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10.67Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Emma Wang | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 12.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Foley | 12.3% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 15.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 16.3% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% |
| Greta Traver | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 24.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.