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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+3.91vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+4.89vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+6.54vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+3.83vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+2.48vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.36+4.92vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+2.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.84-3.41vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.60-3.55vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-2.32vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.90-6.52vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.45-2.47vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.03-2.13vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.99-6.23vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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7.83George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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7.48University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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6.45College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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5.48Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.53Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emma Wang | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% |
| Greta Traver | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 23.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.