Race 6A

emily-wick

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Eva Ermlich 14.7% 14.2% 13.0% 11.5% 9.8% 8.7% 5.5% 5.9% 6.2% 3.6% 2.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Emily Alfortish 9.4% 10.9% 8.9% 8.5% 9.7% 8.6% 7.1% 6.5% 6.4% 6.2% 5.3% 4.6% 3.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.9%
Emma Wang 4.8% 6.1% 3.8% 5.9% 6.6% 6.2% 7.1% 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 9.8% 8.1% 7.2% 6.2% 4.4% 4.1%
Kalea Woodard 5.8% 8.0% 6.7% 7.7% 7.2% 6.9% 7.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.3% 6.0% 5.9% 6.6% 5.0% 2.1% 1.8%
Avery Canavan 6.1% 6.0% 8.0% 6.3% 7.5% 7.7% 7.2% 7.7% 7.2% 6.8% 8.0% 6.1% 6.1% 4.8% 3.6% 0.9%
Annika VanderHorst 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 3.4% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 5.6% 5.6% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.6% 9.6% 13.8% 17.1%
Lizzie Cochran 5.6% 5.4% 6.2% 4.1% 5.4% 7.0% 4.9% 6.9% 7.1% 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 7.4% 7.3% 5.9% 3.6%
Tiare Sierra 8.7% 8.3% 8.1% 7.2% 9.0% 8.0% 8.1% 7.5% 8.4% 6.3% 5.3% 6.4% 3.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Lilly Saffer 2.9% 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 3.4% 3.3% 5.0% 7.1% 7.3% 8.0% 9.3% 11.6% 12.0% 12.6%
Kytalin Hendrickson 10.4% 10.3% 10.8% 11.0% 9.5% 10.1% 9.9% 7.9% 4.7% 5.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Caroline Odell 3.8% 3.5% 3.2% 4.0% 3.7% 5.2% 4.3% 5.5% 5.0% 6.4% 5.9% 7.4% 10.3% 10.9% 9.6% 11.3%
Audrey Foley 13.3% 11.7% 10.7% 11.5% 9.1% 6.9% 8.1% 7.3% 6.3% 4.1% 3.8% 3.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3%
Audrey Commerford 3.5% 3.6% 5.1% 5.5% 4.5% 4.3% 7.4% 5.8% 6.7% 8.4% 7.3% 8.0% 8.6% 8.1% 7.7% 5.5%
Greta Traver 2.2% 1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.3% 3.1% 3.8% 3.5% 4.9% 4.1% 6.4% 7.6% 7.8% 9.5% 15.1% 23.4%
Kate Joslin 3.2% 2.6% 3.2% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 8.8% 8.1% 9.8% 13.1% 11.8%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.4% 3.5% 4.7% 4.2% 4.8% 4.4% 5.7% 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 8.6% 7.0% 9.3% 8.8% 7.7% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.