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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University-0.84+5.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+2.60vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College-0.13+4.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.71+1.33vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.48-0.02vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07-2.51vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.71-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.16-2.25vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.01-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Christopher Newport University-0.847.7%1st Place
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4.6Northeastern University1.1813.0%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College-0.134.0%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University0.718.9%1st Place
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4.08Boston University1.1416.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Vermont0.487.1%1st Place
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4.49George Washington University1.0713.5%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University0.719.3%1st Place
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6.75University of South Florida0.165.7%1st Place
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4.56Brown University1.0114.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Laura Smith | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% |
Lucia Loosbrock | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
Lilly Saffer | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 29.7% |
Lizzie Cochran | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
Tiare Sierra | 16.0% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
Audrey Commerford | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% |
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 13.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
Julia Shannon-Grillo | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 8.8% |
Marina Dreyfuss | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 20.6% |
Sidney Moyer | 14.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.