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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Smith 7.7% 7.9% 7.3% 8.1% 7.6% 9.8% 10.2% 12.4% 15.4% 13.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 13.0% 12.5% 13.5% 13.7% 10.8% 10.2% 10.2% 8.1% 5.7% 2.4%
Lilly Saffer 4.0% 4.1% 5.8% 5.3% 7.0% 6.7% 9.6% 11.7% 16.2% 29.7%
Lizzie Cochran 8.9% 9.0% 11.7% 11.3% 11.1% 11.2% 11.4% 11.2% 8.2% 6.0%
Tiare Sierra 16.0% 15.9% 15.4% 12.2% 12.6% 10.0% 6.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.4%
Audrey Commerford 7.1% 8.2% 7.8% 9.8% 10.5% 9.0% 12.6% 11.1% 11.2% 12.8%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 13.5% 14.2% 12.3% 11.3% 13.2% 12.3% 9.3% 6.9% 4.9% 2.1%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 9.3% 8.4% 8.8% 9.6% 8.8% 10.7% 11.8% 11.2% 12.6% 8.8%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.7% 7.3% 4.9% 5.9% 7.9% 9.1% 9.2% 13.2% 16.3% 20.6%
Sidney Moyer 14.8% 12.4% 12.6% 12.8% 10.7% 11.1% 8.9% 7.8% 6.2% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.