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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.02+3.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10-0.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.98+0.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82-0.46vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51-0.85vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.48+0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.04-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.69+1.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12-2.58vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.05-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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5.05University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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2.81Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.54Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.15Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.32University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Connecticut-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 22.0% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 7.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 29.8% | 22.1% | 18.0% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Wendy Reuss | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 22.7% | 5.7% |
| Laura Cuccio | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Jemma O'Donnell | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 10.5% | 78.6% |
| Ellen Kintz | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 36.6% | 11.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.