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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+5.87vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+6.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+2.45vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+3.84vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+1.47vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03-0.88vs Predicted
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7Boston College0.45+3.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-4.34vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.32-3.60vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.76-2.51vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.49vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.03-2.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-4.56vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.36-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.58Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.45Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.84George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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6.47College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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5.12Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.65Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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11.87Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.98Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 16.3% |
| Emma Wang | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Greta Traver | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 23.2% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.