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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.26+6.61vs Predicted
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2Fordham University0.99+6.62vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.60+3.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.03+8.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+6.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.32+1.62vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.90-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.84-2.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+1.30vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.53-0.65vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.99-4.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-9.07vs Predicted
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15Boston College0.45-4.24vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.87-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
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8.62Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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6.49College of Charleston1.600.1%1st Place
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12.16Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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11.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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7.62University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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5.62Yale University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.16Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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9.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.990.0%1st Place
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4.93Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.76Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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9.21Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Emily Alfortish | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Greta Traver | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 28.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% |
| Kalea Woodard | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Audrey Foley | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Odell | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Ella Towner | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Emma Wang | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kate Joslin | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 10.5% |
| Natalie Fear | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.