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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.92+6.47vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+5.25vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+2.50vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.68+1.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+6.10vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.14+3.22vs Predicted
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8Boston College0.16+2.25vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.22-2.56vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.57-1.11vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.01vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.72-4.44vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-7.92vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.68-6.59vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.10-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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7.25St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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5.5Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.08College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.41University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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10.25Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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6.44George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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10.35Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Lina Carper | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 25.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.3% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 15.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Meara Conley | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.