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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+4.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+6.83vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.52+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+7.11vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.57+3.84vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.43vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.72+0.22vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.10+1.39vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.92-2.44vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.56-5.49vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.16-1.74vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.68-7.72vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-3.51vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.22-8.53vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.68-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.46Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.22Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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10.39Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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7.56Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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5.51University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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10.26Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.47George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karya Basaraner | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Meara Conley | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 12.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 23.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% |
| Lina Carper | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Kailey Warrior | 10.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 16.1% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 16.2% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.