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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.52+4.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+3.65vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+3.45vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.14+5.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+5.17vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.56-1.59vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.92-0.40vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72-0.83vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.68-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.57-2.16vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.16-2.52vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.68-8.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-6.08vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.10-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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6.45George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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10.24University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.41University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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7.6Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.48Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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5.32College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.35Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 12.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Lina Carper | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 14.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 24.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 13.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 16.8% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Meara Conley | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.