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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+6.30vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.92+5.42vs Predicted
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3Boston College0.16+7.11vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+1.58vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-0.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.68+1.45vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.57+0.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+2.15vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.56-4.67vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.72-2.66vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-5.38vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.10-2.33vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-3.55vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.68-9.99vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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7.42Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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10.11Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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5.58Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.33University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.62George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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10.67Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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5.01College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Carper | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Karya Basaraner | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 24.9% |
| Kailey Warrior | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 16.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 16.7% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 14.1% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.