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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.56+4.35vs Predicted
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2Boston College0.16+8.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.14+7.18vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+2.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.68+3.48vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.57+1.78vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-2.13vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+2.15vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.72-1.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.05vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-6.28vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.92-5.12vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.68-8.99vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.10-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.48George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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5.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.72Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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5.01College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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10.33Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 12.4% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 14.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| Lina Carper | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 23.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Meara Conley | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.