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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.10+9.20vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+3.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.68+5.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.68+1.03vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+2.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.96vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.14+3.18vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-2.39vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.92-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.56-4.46vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-4.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-0.58vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-3.94vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.72-6.74vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.16-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.2Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University0.680.0%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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7.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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5.61Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.49Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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5.54University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.63George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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8.26Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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10.1Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Murray | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.7% |
| Karya Basaraner | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Meara Conley | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Kailey Warrior | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 26.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.