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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.56+4.36vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.68+2.89vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.22+3.50vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.52+1.56vs Predicted
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5Fordham University0.10+5.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15+5.19vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+0.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.68+0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.14+1.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-0.96vs Predicted
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11Boston College0.16-0.76vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-3.95vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-7.49vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-10.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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4.89College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.56Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.34Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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11.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.24Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.51Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kailey Warrior | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 13.9% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Murray | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 16.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 24.1% |
| Lina Carper | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.8% |
| Meara Conley | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 17.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Caitlin Derby | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Karya Basaraner | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.