Race 10B

wick-womens-event

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 14.8% 13.1% 13.3% 12.8% 10.6% 10.8% 9.8% 7.1% 4.2% 3.5%
Tiare Sierra 16.2% 16.1% 15.4% 13.1% 12.3% 9.4% 7.2% 5.9% 3.2% 1.1%
Laura Smith 6.3% 7.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.8% 9.8% 10.3% 12.8% 14.3% 14.3%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 8.4% 8.1% 9.3% 10.6% 10.8% 10.3% 11.3% 11.3% 10.9% 8.9%
Lucia Loosbrock 11.8% 13.0% 13.0% 11.9% 11.8% 11.2% 8.8% 9.2% 6.1% 3.2%
Sidney Moyer 14.2% 13.0% 11.1% 11.3% 11.8% 10.7% 10.4% 8.3% 5.9% 3.3%
Marina Dreyfuss 5.1% 5.4% 6.9% 7.5% 8.6% 8.2% 10.7% 12.2% 15.2% 20.1%
Lizzie Cochran 11.2% 11.3% 10.4% 11.2% 10.8% 10.8% 9.8% 9.9% 9.3% 5.1%
Lilly Saffer 4.5% 5.5% 4.3% 4.9% 6.0% 8.2% 9.0% 12.0% 17.2% 28.2%
Audrey Commerford 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 8.4% 10.6% 12.4% 11.2% 13.6% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.