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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.02+4.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+0.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+2.15vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+2.25vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83-1.62vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.48+2.64vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.05+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.04-0.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.12+0.24vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-4.55vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-5.12vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut-0.69-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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2.87Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.25Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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3.38Dartmouth College3.830.2%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University1.480.0%1st Place
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7.22Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont2.040.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.120.0%1st Place
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5.45Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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11.53University of Connecticut-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanel Miller | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 27.7% | 24.8% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 9.6% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 21.6% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wendy Reuss | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 20.5% | 24.7% | 5.6% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 1.6% |
| Laura Cuccio | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 1.9% |
| Ellen Kintz | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 20.3% | 33.6% | 7.8% |
| Sky Adams | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jemma O'Donnell | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.