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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.92+6.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.68+5.77vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.68+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.14+5.72vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+1.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.65vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-0.22vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.52-2.68vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.56-3.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-4.41vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.72-4.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.15-2.45vs Predicted
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14Fordham University0.10-4.29vs Predicted
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15Boston College0.16-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.82College of Charleston1.680.2%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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6.33George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.1%1st Place
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5.32Northeastern University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.21University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University0.100.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 17.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Meara Conley | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Lina Carper | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 12.4% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Katherine Mason | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 25.2% |
| Lauren Murray | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 17.1% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.