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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.58+0.76vs Predicted
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3American University-1.49+0.95vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.02vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.07-2.97vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-2.41vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-3.81-1.01vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-5.19-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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2.76University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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3.95American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.98SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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2.03Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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3.59Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.99William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Delaware-5.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 43.0% | 26.6% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 20.2% | 27.0% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 10.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 22.2% | 36.8% | 7.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 18.9% | 19.5% | 23.7% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 43.0% | 26.6% | 17.8% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 9.9% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 24.3% | 26.0% | 4.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Thesmar | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 6.7% | 66.7% | 21.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 18.0% | 77.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.