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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.04vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.58-0.22vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.04vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49-1.05vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-2.42vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-3.81-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-5.19-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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2.04Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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2.78University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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2.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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3.95American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.58Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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5.98William and Mary-3.810.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Delaware-5.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 43.7% | 25.6% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 43.7% | 25.6% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 20.3% | 24.5% | 24.7% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 17.4% | 23.6% | 21.5% | 21.5% | 14.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.9% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 22.1% | 35.9% | 8.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 10.0% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 24.1% | 26.2% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Thesmar | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 7.0% | 65.8% | 21.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 18.2% | 77.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.