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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.58+1.16vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.07-0.70vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.19+0.11vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.59vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.82-2.38vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-5.19-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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3.16University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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2.3Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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4.11Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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3.62William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.48American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Delaware-5.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 38.4% | 24.4% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 16.9% | 23.4% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 38.4% | 24.4% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 24.0% | 22.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 15.8% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 12.3% | 15.8% | 20.2% | 17.5% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 8.0% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 20.7% | 36.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 95.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.