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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.07+1.28vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.07+0.28vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58-0.78vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49-0.46vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-1.89vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.82-3.43vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-5.19-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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2.28Virginia Tech0.070.4%1st Place
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3.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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3.22University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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4.54American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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4.11Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.57William and Mary-0.820.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Delaware-5.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 38.6% | 24.7% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Lilyquist | 38.6% | 24.7% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 15.6% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 16.1% | 21.9% | 19.2% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 36.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 9.0% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 22.8% | 23.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Finian Knight | 14.0% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 95.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.