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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University-1.19+3.04vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.58+1.19vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.36-0.11vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+0.56vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.36-2.11vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-2.55vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.40-4.06vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-5.19-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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2.89Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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4.56American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.89Virginia Tech-0.360.2%1st Place
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3.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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2.94William and Mary-0.400.3%1st Place
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6.92University of Delaware-5.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Adams | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 25.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 18.5% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 8.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 22.4% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 38.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 22.4% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 15.8% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 25.8% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 95.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.