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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.36+1.83vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.40+0.93vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.72+0.43vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.19+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.58-1.75vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.36-3.17vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-2.47vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-5.19-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Virginia Tech-0.360.3%1st Place
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2.93William and Mary-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.43SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.2%1st Place
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4.11Drexel University-1.190.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Maryland-0.580.2%1st Place
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2.83Virginia Tech-0.360.3%1st Place
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4.53American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Delaware-5.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 26.2% | 22.1% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 21.9% | 23.4% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 16.0% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 24.4% | 24.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 17.7% | 20.0% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 26.2% | 22.1% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 8.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 38.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandria Prokapus | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 95.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.